I understand it's tough and expensive realistically speaking probably you will be able file by Mid 2026. anytime before that is a win!

I have the same PD. Very hard to tell what will happen in the next bulletin. AOS cases are far quicker than consular processing. if the date for filing moves significantly we should be able to file and then you can leave your F1 and just work. Again depends upon your situation but I would stick to maintaining F1 at least for the next 6 months.

It's hard to say, but for the past couple of years, the Filling Date has been moving forward by 6-8 months per year, maybe it will be the same this time too.

@JUNE 2021 I don’t think he will until 2027 to be honest but what’s good as soon as you file you for i485 you can get your green card immediately

@r s the only hope is for the filing date to more forward significantly compared to final action. The date for filing has been stagnant for a while. Logically speaking all of 2021 applicants have at least filed to i485 but USCIS has something else in their mind.

@r s do you think I am better off doing counselor processing then? If my turn’s going to come in 2027 then I won’t be able to stay here in the US on F1. I will only be able to manage until mid of 2026. This is a very frustrating process. 😭

i mean you have waited since 2022 and you can’t wait another 6 months i mean if you go back to your country things will take a longer time am just giving you advice just wait and hopefully by june or august

@r s I can wait until mid 2026. Been in US since 2014. I can definitely wait for another year lol

@PD Apri 2022 Actually, you need to hope that the filing date moves forward and that immigration decides to use the filing chart for new applications, which lately has not been the case. They’ve only been using the final action chart for new filings. I don’t want to discourage you, and I hope the pace of movement changes, but to be honest, I believe it will only be around the 2027 fiscal year.

@Bill : ) thank you! That was something that I was not aware. I do think I am still long way off based on it. I at least had some expectations for date of fling to move towards my date but if they are not using that date then it’s a different story. 😟

tbh based on the movement of the VB i guess you will be current by end of 2026 however CP is a bit slower than AOS if you can wait for a while it will be the best case scenario but dont expect huge movement in October last year it didn’t even move.

@Talkie Tag thank you. Hopefully I am current by the end of 2026

you will be current before that

based on visa bulletin your turn will come in 2029. @Bill : ) @Marwan Yehya @JUNE 2021 @r s you all need to be realistic. the visa bulletin has hardly moved for the past couple of years. for 2021 there were around 7000 approved i140 and on average there will be another dependent so 14000 green cards just for 2021. for 2022 there are 9000 approved i140, you are in 2nd quarter so there are almost 20000 people ahead of you.

@Bill : ) I was not aware of that too. BDV does not mention these things when I consult with them. Thank you. I was thinking that if the fling date is current for me then I would be able to file.

@Mark White what are you talking about i started the process in august 2020 and my pd is january 2021

@Mark White you’re scaring him/her. I do not think your math is correct.

@r s I mean that @PD Apri 2022 turn will come in 2029. I do not think there is a possibility for his turn to come in 2026. There are almost 20k people ahead of him and only 10k green cards each year

You should be current in 2026.

@Mark White oh i got it I thought you were talking to me as my pd is January 6th 2021

So I think it’s better for me to do CP? I am getting mixed answers.

@PD Apri 2022 Don’t go back to you country and do CP. Try your best to stay here and adjust your status. I think with F1 visa you can ask to work on OPT or CPT.

@yellow banana 🍌 I do not think it is wise to stay in the US maintaining F1 until he gets his GC. It’s expected to take up to 2029 for 2022 dates to be current. Paying for school until then is very expensive

@PD Apri 2022 better to do it from your home country if you cannot maintain F1. Again I am just presenting you the facts that is available. 2022 dates might go upto 2029 to be current. Always need to make sure that you have a way to stay in a legal status until then. It’s always good to think positive but we need to be realistic.

@Mark White This is your perspective. I still believe that 2022 will become current in 2027. I’m almost 100% sure that 2026 will cover all of 2021, and then 2027 will partially cover 2022. You said there are about 20k people ahead of them, but that doesn’t make any sense to me. I still stand by my prediction.

lol anyone who is saying 2029 is wrong. According to the official data only 3K cases are pending with PD 2021 which means they have cleared major backlog for the past. Your date of filing will be current in 2026

@sam young where are you getting this data from?

@Bill : ) apologies but you are wrong. Simply the backlog for 2021 is around 8k still. You can go check the approved I-140 table with the data on this. 2026 will only cover 2021 and maybe some early 2022. You guys are not taking into account all the Consular processing in this category. Majority of these have applicants have at least 3 depends. I am pretty sure @PD Apri 2022 is behind 20k applicants

@Mark White https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/eb_inventory_may_2025.xlsx

@Mark White it’s 3K according to the most recent data

@sam young my calculation stands clear then! 3k pending cases multiply it by 3. Another 9k cases multiply it by 3. The backlog for 2022 will be clear by 2029

Provide your data, where did you get it from?

2021 approved i-485 number: 3000 multiply it by 3= 9000 2021 case will take all of 2026 to clear. Simple math guys. This does not even account CP cases or those who have not have not filed for i485 yet. I am just being realistic. 2029 is the date that 2022 will become current.

@Mark White what is your logic/formula to multiply the number by 3? I did not understand that.

@Mark White that’s not the number of I-140 that I have provided above. that’s the actual number of people with PD 2021 waiting for their greencard including dependent which is total 3K altogether as of may 2025

@sam young I meant it for I485

@Mark White dependents are always considered 1.5-2 ,where did you get this from 3?!?!

@Mark White 4.473 person with an already dependent person by December 2021, and this is a rough calculation rounded up

@Mark White colfitsen 3 did you calculate this for India?😆

@Aleksey 223 look at the past data. We do not even know how many cases are pending with DOS. Those need to be counted as they will have the same priority date. I agree that we see 3k cases in the surface but there is a ballooned number of cases at the back. 2029 is the earliest for 2022 folks. I am not trying to be negative, my PD itself is dec 2021 and I think I will be current towards the end of next year.

@Aleksey 223 if for India haha its better to just forget about any employer based except for EB1. They will be in queue until they pass away if they file now

Guys it’s always great to be positive but we need to be realistic. Look at the past trends, data and the new administration’s stance against immigrants. These all play factor in my prediction and I stand firm with it until someone can prove me wrong with data or any insider information haha. Always ready to hear your guys perspective as we are all in this together. As for @PD Apri 2022 you are better off waiting it out in your country brother. It’s easier and you will save money.

@Mark White if your prediction is right then I am in a hopeless situation. I am in no state to maintain my F1 after 6 months.

@Mark White I do agree with you that 2022 has a lot of cases even more than 2021. but we are here talking about date of filing which is moving with a decent pace like 7-8 months/FY. I believe since the backlog is pretty much clear so things should move pretty quick but it’s really unpredictable at this point. I think next month visa bulletin will give us a good idea on how things will move in future.

@sam young do you think that I should be current to file by next year then?

@sam young I agree with you. With such a large backlog, they somehow managed to cover 8 months this fiscal year.

@Mark White they will close 2021 in the second - third quarter and will reach the end of the next financial year in February - March according to FAD, as for DOF, if it cuts off 5-6 months from the new financial year, this will be a reliable indicator

@Aleksey 223 I beg to differ. The cases for 2021 will take almost the whole of 2026

@PD Apri 2022 yes I definitely think you will

@sam young please don’t give false hope. It’s. not possible for @PD Apri 2022 to be current by next year

@Mark White I believe you know @PD Apri 2022 is asking for suggestions/our assumptions for filing not final action. He should be current next fiscal year if he is asking for filing date, just my assumption though. I know what you are saying but even in the worst case filing is not going to take fy2029. it is only my pov. So @PD Apri 2022 wait up one more month we should know which way we heading next fiscal year. We are all on the same boat with no certainty and every one of us is scared . lets pray for current next fy.

@eb3 022 what is your PD?

@Mark White I feel like you’re trying to force your calculations on people. You have your estimates and we have ours. Either way, I hope you’re wrong, and I believe the vast majority of people do too. There’s no point in posting thousands of guesses here, because in about a month we’ll know how much movement there will be in the next fiscal year. I wish everyone good luck, and may many GCs come in the upcoming fiscal year.

@Bill : ) no not trying to post my estimation. I am calculating this based on the data that is available. I have nothing to gain or lose, I am not making money on this. I do this to make sure that people are aware of what is going on. My calculations are scientific. Over the past few years the VB has hardly advanced by a year. We should not be expecting all of 2022 cases to be done by 2026, that is an impossible task. If you are before May of 2022 chances are quite high that your PD will be current in 2026 since the cases are manageable. Beyond May we do not have data and based on the LC filed it is an astronomical amount

@Bill : ) 👌

Guys please be realistic and focus on @PD Apri 2022 issue. he is asking genuine question but people are just busy talking illogical aspect. Please prove me wrong with facts

@Mark White I’d like to hear from you — your calculations: where you get the numbers, how many people filed I-485, how many did not file, why you multiply dependents by three. Please give a detailed answer and not just a brush-off, because right now your words are worth nothing.

@Aleksey 223 I have provided a response in another thread. I have share the predective model that I built if you want

@Mark White Of course I want to and I'm looking forward to it ))) just describe it in detail

@Mark White @Bill : ) @Aleksey 223 please let me know when I can file pd April 2022

@PD Apri 2022 before graduating as an F1 student you can apply for OPT. If your OPT is approved you can stay and work in US for 1 year.