its literally so shocking to know they are still stuck for 2020 for this long i thought they would atleast reach mid 2021 by the end if this fy but seems like it will be dec 2020 by the end of this fy

@tribal chief maybe they try to resolve the most backlogged, if you use number of I-140 approved minus number of I-485 issued each year you would see a small portion would not get approved, that could be the backlogs they try to resolve now.

@T N do you have any idea when date of filing will move for AOS ? because it’s crazy people doing AOS cannot apply for work permits or I-485.

@sam young My guess is by October 2025 they could take up the whole FY 2021 and each year October is the month renewal quota, so they possibly advance the filing date by that time. Now they use chart A for filling I think they want to push something up. As there is no point to use filling date chart B if there is a huge backlogs, I guess when they try to push this, they could possibly change to use chart B filling date by October 2025 which is still quite long from now and it is actually crazy long.

T N tell me your prediction, when to expect the end (November) of 2022 to be current for unskilled?

@Alex Kane it could possibly sometime in the late 2026 I think (October 2026 - December 2026), they could use the FY 2026 (October 2025-October 2026) to work on PD 2022

@T N the process is so shit and slow. my pd is 7/22 and my I-140 is approved but due to I-140 being approved I can’t travel or drop my f1 status unless I have filled I-485. it’s totally unfair with people who are doing AOS.

2021 pd have about 18k cases will take 2 yrs oct 24 to oct 26. https://cis.org/sites/default/files/2022-10/WaitingListItem_2021vF.pdf

@Y A there is 9k I-140 FY 2021 is from October 2020-October 2021 There is 9k new cases in there. How you count up to 18k, do you mean the 18k from now on?

@sam young it is shitty and slow, I think someone had PD in April 2022 and able to file I-485. I think the backlogs now is from October 2020-April 2022. There is almost 10k cases in FY 2022, so I think by the time they issued cases in September 2021, they would switch to chart B filling date for PD mid 2022 to file. Yeah can’t image some F1 has to maintain status for about 2-3 years, that’s frustrating

FY 2021 starts on October 2020-October 2021 and there is 9k new cases in there, by this October if they reach December 2020, I think about 2k cases would be resolved

@T N click on cis link attached on above post 9k is only aos and conulate without dependents. link i provided is consulates only with dependents. on avg there are 2 dependents for 1 i-140 filed. total eb3 backlog on consulates only as of nov 2023 is 46k.

@Y A You are right

you have done very great work, according to your analysis what do you think for filling chart in oct 2024. my pd is mar 22 do you think the filling chart will move or not. please tell me

@the mankind now USCIS is using final action date, I think they may switch to use filling chart date when they finish all cases in 2021, possibly in October 2025. This October 2024 may not use the filling date chart but keep using final action date chart

so brother in this october 2024 pd they will not move the filling chart.

@the mankind they will move filing chart based upon no of visa they will be able to use for that fiscal year.

so brother what is your prediction since i can see you are pretty experienced, what do you think for this october

thanks for your great analysis my PD is June 2021, we had the interview already with a positive feedback, do you know when we could be getting the GC?

@the mankind Final action date October maybe January 2021 or February 2021

@David Lopez I think you could get your GC April 2025 - June 2025 next year

filing date could move till 2021 may jun this oct meaning we should complete half of 2021 next year then another half next fiscal yr.

@T N brother my son is turing 21 after 1.3 years, i am also worried about his 485 filling so he can’t age out. what do suggest and think. i am waiting from 1.5 years but this filling has retrogressed.

@the mankind there is a chance that he is gonna age out since this retrogression remains stagnant for so long, hopefully this October would have a big advancement in Filling Date or Final Action Date or if not, we have to see October next year, I’m also an age out child so I know it is frustrating to be in this situation but there is nothing but hope, usually October would have a big advancement except the last 2 years

@T N brother where are you from? can i get your contact.

@T N your i485 was filled or you kid become age out before that.

@the mankind by the time the I-485 is approved, if your kid is already 21, he is considered it age out and cannot get the GC with you

@tn if i filled i485 and during that my kid is under 21. so that he will be counted with me.