They will go back in next month visa bulletin and again go forward in October visa bulletin.So eventually it won’t change in October visa bulletin.

@Alex brown I think the retrogression will be only for EB3 and not for EB3 Unskilled

@Alex brown They did make big changes for new fiscal year in October 2022 from April 2019 to January 2020 which is 8 months advanced, If they are able to do the same, we would get June 2021 in October 2024

@Y A I mean final action date

@Y A if they can issue 8-9k gc a year for us, after 2 years backlogs, even advance 1 year is not cheating

@Y A EB4 move 11 months last April

@Y A Do you notice that every time USCIS stop at somewhere too long they usually advance big, they stop for the whole 9 months

2023 they advance 12 months from April 2019 to May 2020. 2024 looks like they gonna advance from May 2020-November 2020 which is 6 months. During 2023-2024 they also work on most backlogged cases so if all of them are issued I believe 2021 is the next in line soon.

@Y A our category never get over 10k so it doesn’t matter

@Y A I think they issue 4-5-6k because each year there just around 3-4-5k I-140 issued, now retrogression I think they would use all of the visa to get out of the backlogs

@Y A How many EB3- unskilled visas are issued per fiscal year?

not gonna happen lol

plus, bulletins change constantly so why do people keep basing their hope on past trends/movements ? future bulletins are not gonna be similar to what happened 2-3 years ago as there is no concrete pattern.

@T T what is your October expectation?

y'all gotta be realistic. It either slightly moves or stays the same for October given the current data and stats.