I wouldn’t say it’s as accurate as it looks, because it’s solely depends on how much data they use, if more people use it, it’ll be tiny more accurate. Every case is so different and it’s hard to predict anything.

70%

For me, the highest % was 36 and the next was 27, and the approval came for the second half of the 36% period.

prediction was accurate but it's probability, so wouldn't be surprised if the decision comes in other period. 36% means 64% will not

@A G it's not 64% because you have some percentage before the "36" usually.

i mean the sum of all percentages before and after 36 is 64%

yes but usually before 36 you have more than 14% after 36 is usually less than 50. but I think we say the same

i see what you mean. yes i agree but it's still probability so in principle nothing can be excluded, even for 5%

If it is about the accuracy of status notification, it's very accurate. If it's about the accuracy of prediction, I think AG makes sense.