no, around 3.5k AOS and 5k CP applications are remaining for 2021. 2026 is going be for 2021 applicants. If you haven’t filed yet, you might be able to file in Q4 of 26, but FAD will be current only in 2027, I am guessing Q1 2027.

good luck with 5k cp case during Trump era . USCIS is focusing on AOS only. so you definitely have a chance in 2026

I don’t feel hopeful before april for pd 2021 September! Probably, you would be able to file next year oct and fad will be 2027 july.

@Paan Singh how do you know there are 5k cp applications? is there any data available

@Paan Singh according to USCIS, there was an exact total of 4,785 pending i-485 cases (doesn't matter AOS or CP) as of Jan 2025, a good amount of those have already been approved by now as these approval posts suggest. So your numbers are way off, and I pulled mine from USCIS website.

@sam young I have data from USCIS, they will update in January again so we will see.

@G C I got mine from USCIS, they publish them annually, it hard to find the right article on the website but I downloaded an Excel file with USCIS letter head on it.

@BDV PUBLIC ENEMY #1 @G C USCIS has recently published their October 2025 I-485 inventory and it shows only 3,200 applicants are remaining with PD 2021. I am not sure about cp cases because there is no data available. my question is if 90% of the backlog is cleared why the visa bulletin is not making any progress?

@G C @BDV PUBLIC ENEMY #1 https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/eb_inventory_october_2025.xlsx

@sam young my guess is that 3200 applicants x3 for dependents bring it up to around 10k cases, still alot imo.

@BDV PUBLIC ENEMY #1 3200 is I-485 applications filed not I-140 approval! It includes all the dependents with the principal applicant

@Amin Goretz yes that’s right

No. you'll be current by Q3 of 2027.

yeah looking more likely in 2027